Week Ahead 22nd-26th July:

• MON: PBoC LPR
• TUE: NBH Policy Announcement; US Existing Home Sales (Jun), Richmond Fed (Jul), EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Jul)
• WED: BoC Policy Announcement & MPR; Japanese Flash PMIs (Jul), German GfK (Aug), EZ, UK & US Flash PMIs (Jul)
• THU: CBR Announcement, CBRT Announcement; EZ M3 (Jun), German Ifo (Jul), US Durable Goods (Jun), GDP Advance & PCE (Q2), IJC (20th...

• Equities are entirely in the red, with sentiment hit amid ongoing worldwide IT outages, sparked by CrowdStrike (-14%) updates, which have impacted Microsoft (-2.2%) and Nvidia (-1%) services.
• Dollar is firmer, G10s are mostly lower, with slight underperformance in the Antipodeans given the risk tone, GBP slips post-Retail Sales.
• Bonds are pressured and trading within a tight range, having initially been boosted by the broader risk...

• APAC stocks mostly followed suit to the losses on Wall St where sentiment was dampened and the Trump trade was seen in play as President Biden's re-election chances dwindled further.
• Chinese senior party official for economic affairs said China's economic recovery is not strong enough and needs to implement macro policies more effectively.
• Several people close to US President Biden reportedly said they believe he has begun to accept the idea that he may have to drop...

• European equities are choppy, Tech is lower in Europe and fails to benefit from strong TSMC earnings & guidance, but has helped to lift the NQ
• Dollar is firmer, AUD benefits on the region’s jobs data, GBP back below 1.30 post-wages
• Bonds are pressured ahead of the ECB; Bunds saw two-way action around the French & Spanish auctions
• Crude erases initial strength, XAU incrementally firmer and base metals are...

• APAC stocks followed suit to the tech rout stateside owing to the recent rotation play, concerns of China tech curbs and tariff fears.
• European equity futures indicate a slightly softer open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1% after the cash market finished lower by 1.1% on Wednesday.
• DXY remains on a 103 handle, EUR/USD holds onto 1.09 status and Cable is testing support at 1.30.
• CNN quoted a senior adviser stating that US President...

• European equities almost entirely in the red with sentiment hit following ASML earnings; results which has led to significant NQ weakness
• Dollar is weaker and slips to 103.70, carry trade unwinding seen with significant strength in JPY & CHF, GBP climbs past 1.30
• Fixed complex is rangebound, with Bunds underpinned but USTs capped near Tuesday’s best into supply
• Crude is incrementally firmer, initially catching a bid amid the weaker...

• APAC stocks were mixed despite the positive handover from Wall St, while China trade frictions and tariff threats clouded over Asia-Pac sentiment.
• NZD/USD was ultimately boosted despite the softer-than-expected New Zealand CPI data for Q2 as the attention turned to the 5.4% surge in non-tradeable consumer inflation; DXY struggled for direction.
• Former President Trump said the Fed should abstain from cutting rates before the November election and wants to bring the...

• European equities are entirely in the red; US futures gain, and with clear outperformance in the RTY
• USD gains vs NZD, AUD & JPY, EUR/USD reclaims 1.09 and USD/JPY holds around 158.40
• Bonds are higher following Fed Chair Powell's comments and with yields unwinding some of their Trump-induced steepening
• Crude resides at session lows, XAU gains and eyes its ATH and base metals are mostly lower
• Looking ahead, US...

• APAC stocks were mixed amid a quiet calendar and after the choppy but positive performance stateside.
• Fed Chair Powell acknowledged more inflation progress and that recent inflation readings added confidence in inflation falling.
• European equity futures indicate a softer open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.3% after the cash market closed down by 1.2% on Monday.
• DXY is marginally higher with the USD mainly firmer vs. JPY, AUD and NZD, EUR/USD...

• European bourses are mostly lower, but sentiment has improved in recent trade; Burberry -15% and Swatch -10% both warn on China weakness; US equity futures gain
• Dollar is subdued but still holds just above 104.00, EUR/USD at 1.09 & the Kiwi lags
• Bonds were initially subdued in reaction to the assassination attempt on former President Trump, pressure which has since pared
• Crude is choppy and modestly higher, XAU holds onto USD 2400/oz,...

• APAC stocks traded mixed as participants reflected on the Trump assassination attempt over the weekend and a slew of Chinese data.
• Chinese GDP and Retail Sales missed forecasts, while House Prices further deteriorated but Industrial Production topped estimates.
• European equity futures indicate a negative open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.6% after the cash market closed up by 1.3% on Friday.
• Initial strength in DXY faded, EUR/USD sits on...

Week Ahead 15th-19th July:

• MON: Republican Convention, Holiday: Japanese Marine Day, Eurogroup Meeting, Eurogroup Informal meeting of Energy Ministers; Chinese GDP (Q2), Industrial Output/Retail Sales (Jun), Swiss PPI (Jun), US NY Fed Manufacturing (Jul), EZ Industrial Production (Jun); China's Third Plenum (15-18th July)
• TUE: Republican Convention; German Wholesale Price Index (Jun), ZEW (Jul), EZ Trade Balance (May), US Export /Import Prices (Jun), Retail...

• European bourses are entirely in the green, US futures are mixed with the ES and NQ flat whilst the RTY continues to outperform
• Dollar is flat having erased earlier gains, USD/JPY back below 160 after choppy trade overnight
• Bonds are pressured giving back some of the post-CPI strength
• Crude is firmer and resides near session highs, XAU lower and base metals are mixed
• Looking ahead, US PPI, Uni. of Michigan Prelim.,...

• APAC stocks took their cues from the mixed performance stateside where softer-than-expected CPI data boosted Fed rate cut bets and spurred a stock rotation out of large-cap tech into small-cap cyclicals.
• DXY found some slight reprieve following yesterday's selling, USD/JPY swung between gains and losses in volatile trade; Nikkei said the BoJ likely conducted rate checks in EUR/JPY today.
• Fed's Daly (voter) said it is likely some policy adjustments will be warranted...

• European bourses are entirely in the green whilst US futures take a breather from the prior day’s advances
• Dollar is incrementally softer, GBP benefits from the region’s strong GDP metrics
• Bonds are flat/lower, with Treasuries standing pat as focus remains on US CPI, Gilts marginally underperform
• Crude is incrementally higher, having pared overnight gains; XAU at session highs and base metals are mixed
• Looking ahead,...

• APAC stocks took impetus from Wall St where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose to fresh record highs once again.
• European equity futures indicate a mildly positive open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed up by 1.1% on Wednesday.
• DXY sits just below the 105 mark, antipodeans lead, Cable has held onto recent gains and USD/JPY continues to edge higher.
• BoE's Mann said that wage growth is still far away from being...

• Equities are entirely in the green and hold near session highs
• Dollar is flat and just above 105, NZD underperforms after the RBNZ kept rates unchanged but language struck a less hawkish tone
• Bonds are firmer ahead of US 10yr supply and another appearance from Chair Powell
• Crude was initially subdued following Chinese inflation data, but caught a bid on geopolitical headlines; XAU is incrementally firmer
• Looking...

• APAC stocks were mixed following the indecisive performance stateside where the major indices finished rangebound after Fed Chair Powell largely stuck to the script.
• DXY traded rangebound, USD/JPY continued its gradual upward trend, NZD was pressured after RBNZ, and CNY did not react to softer-than-expected Chinese CPI.
• RBNZ unsurprisingly maintained the OCR at 5.50% although its language was less hawkish as it added that the extent of restraint will be tempered...

• European equities are mostly lower, US futures are modestly in the green ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s testimony
• Dollar is flat and G10s are uneventful vs the Dollar, though the Kiwi lags
• Bonds are lower, with focus today on Fed Chair Powell and US 3yr supply
• Crude is subdued and near session lows, XAU nurses recent losses
• Looking ahead, NFIB Business Optimism Index, Comments from Fed’s Powell, Barr & Bowman,...

• APAC stocks were mixed as the region only partially sustained the positive mood seen in the US where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 extended on record highs.
• European equity futures indicate a lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after the cash market closed down by 0.2% on Monday.
• DXY lingers around the 105 mark, USD/JPY eyes 161 to the upside with FX markets broadly contained.
• Hamas said Israel's PM Netanyahu is placing hurdles...

• European bourses are entirely in the green, paring initial losses as markets digest the fallout from the French second-round parliamentary election
• French second-round election results pointed to a hung parliament in which the left-wing New Popular Front surprisingly won the most seats followed by Macron's centrists and with the far-right National Rally in third place
• DXY is incrementally softer & EUR scales back initial French-induced...

• APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region failed to resume the momentum from last Friday's dovish post-NFP reaction, while the weekend macro news flow was light aside from the French election results.
• EUR/USD was mildly pressured after the French second-round election results pointed to a hung parliament in which the left-wing New Popular Front surprisingly won the most seats followed by Macron's centrists and with the far-right National Rally in third...

Week Ahead 7th-12th July:

• SUN: French Election (second round)
• MON: CNB Minutes (June), Eurogroup Informal meeting of Competitiveness Ministers; Japanese Overtime Pay (May), German Trade Data (May), EZ Sentix Index (July), BoI Announcement, US Employment Trends
• TUE: BoJ Bond Meeting 9-10, EIA STEO; Australian Consumer Sentiment, Hungarian CPI (June), Mexican 12-month Inflation (June), Powell Testimony...

• European bourses have been tilting higher with the region benefitting from the removal of some political risk in the UK, Germany & France
• Stateside, futures pivoting the unchanged mark into Payrolls
• FX has seen a slightly softer start for the USD, weighed on by EUR & GBP; USD/JPY slips to near 160.50
• Fixed benchmarks generally firmer but only modestly so, EGBs unreactive to data and German fiscal...

• APAC stocks traded mostly higher as the region followed suit to the gains on Wall Street where the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq notched fresh record closes once again heading into US Independence Day.
• Fed Minutes stated that most saw the current policy stance as restrictive and several participants said if inflation were to persist at an elevated level or rise further, the Fed Funds Rate might need to be raised, while a number of participants said that policy should stand ready to respond to...