BofA weekly flow data shows USD 20.5bln into stocks, USD 28.1bln into bonds, USD 5.8bln into cash, USD 2.0bln into gold and USD 1.3bln out of crypto
- BULL & BEAR: BofA’s Bull & Bear Indicator rose to 7.6 (from 7.2), driven by inflows to HY and EM debt. BofA says the indicator could rise to the “sell signal” level of 8 in the next two weeks if fund manager cash levels fall and flows show further inflows to global stocks, EM debt and HY bonds.
- EQUITIES: US equities saw a seventh straight week of inflows, which cumulatively stand at USD 21.9bln, and US large caps drew USD 24.4bln; Japan equities drew USD 4.6bln for a third straight week; Europe posted USD 1.5bln of outflows for a fifth straight week; EM equities lost USD 25.4bln for a fifth straight week; China equities saw USD 22.2bln outflows, the biggest since January 2026.
- SECTORS: Tech saw a USD 5.4bln inflow, the biggest since February 2026; healthcare saw USD 0.5bln, its biggest inflow since January 2026; Real estate saw inflows of USD 0.7bln, the biggest since December 2025; infrastructure funds posted a record USD 1.5bln inflow; Energy saw outflows of USD 0.5bln, and consumer funds saw outflows of USD 1.0bln.
- FIXED INCOME: Treasuries drew USD 5.6bln, the biggest inflow in six weeks; IG bonds drew USD 14.0bln, with BofA noting the biggest four-week inflows since March 2026 at USD 42.2bln; HY bonds resumed inflows at USD 1.8bln; EM debt saw USD 2.3bln of inflows; Munis saw USD 1.9bln of inflows; bank loans saw a seventh straight week of inflows at USD 0.7bln.
- POSITIONING: BofA private clients’ AUM stood at USD 4.5tln; equity allocation at 65.7%, the highest ever; bond allocation at 17.3%, the lowest since March 2022; cash at 9.8%, the lowest ever. Over the past four weeks, BofA says clients bought energy, muni bond and materials ETFs, while selling utilities, financials and tech ETFs.
- TRADING VIEW: BofA says “bull capitulation” into stocks and tech is likely to be complete in the next few weeks, with early June ripe for taking some risk off the table. It flags 7th June OPEC, the 11th June World Cup start, 14th June Trump birthday, 15th June G7 and 17th June first FOMC under new Chair Warsh as key dates.
Context
The latest BofA flow data reveals significant inflows into both stocks and bonds, indicating a potential shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets, particularly in U.S. equities. This uptick, coupled with a rising Bull & Bear Indicator, suggests the market may be poised for continued bullish momentum if cash allocations decline further, impacting the outlook for both equity and fixed income markets.
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