BofA's weekly flow report notes USD 2.7bln into bonds, USD 35bln out of cash, USD 29bln out of stocks, USD 6.3bln out of gold, USD 0.5bln out of crypto
BULL/BEAR INDICATOR:
- BofA says its Bull & Bear Indicator fell to to 7.4 (from 8.4) on deteriorating global stock index breadth, outflows from HY bonds and EM debt, as well as wider credit spreads; the indicator is now at its lowest level since July 2025
CASH:
- BofA says cash saw its first and largest outflow in 10 weeks, while gold saw its largest outflow since October 2025
BONDS:
- US Treasuries saw USD 6.8bln of inflows, with the largest two-week inflow since April 2025
- Short-term bonds saw USD 13.3bln of inflows, the third-largest ever
- Long-term bonds saw USD 4.7bln of outflows, the largest since March 2020, and second-largest ever
- High yield bond funds saw USD 3.3bln of outflows, the largest three-week outflow since April 2025
EQUITIES:
- US equities saw USD 23.6bln of outflows, the largest in 13 weeks
- Europe equities saw USD 3.1bln of outflows, the largest since April 2025
- By sector, Materials saw USD 10.5bln of outflows, the largest ever
Context
The latest BofA weekly flow report highlights significant shifts in investor sentiment, with inflows into bonds and severe outflows from cash, stocks, and commodities. The pronounced movement into bonds, particularly short-term, suggests a growing risk aversion among investors, further reinforced by the drop in the Bull & Bear Indicator to its lowest level since July 2025. This could imply a bearish outlook for equities and a stronger focus on safer assets amidst economic uncertainty.
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