BoJ Deputy Governor Himino says no strict definition on what constitutes stagflation, adds must be vigilant to chance Middle East conflict, which if prolonged, could work to weigh on the economy and push up inflation

Says:

  • Doesn't think Japan's economy is in stagflation.
  • Face dilemma if prolonged Middle East conflict pushes down growth and accelerates inflation.
  • Will make appropriate decisions on price target and will make the appropriate decision at each meeting.
  • Will take most appropriate policy to stably hit the inflation target, considering scale and duration of shocks and broader economic environment. 
  • Will scrutinise all available data at each meeting to update economic and price forecasts, risks, and the likelihood of durably achieving the price target.
Context

BoJ Deputy Governor Himino's comments highlight a cautious approach to monitoring potential stagflation risks, specifically in the context of external shocks like the Middle East conflict. While he reassures that Japan is not currently in stagflation, the emphasis on vigilant data scrutiny suggests the BoJ is prepared to adjust its policy in response to evolving inflationary pressures and economic growth—implying potential volatility for JPY and fixed income as market participants digest these signals.

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