FBN's Gasparino says Treasury Secretary Bessent will do whatever it takes to "put the fear of God" into bond vigilantes, shorting the long end of the curve in an attempt to drive the 10 year yield to 5%, according to Wall St. execs with direct knowledge
Newsquawk Staff ·
FBN's Gasparino says Treasury Secretary Bessent will do whatever it takes to "put the fear of God" into bond vigilantes, shorting the long end of the curve in an attempt to drive the 10 year yield to 5%, according to Wall St. execs with direct knowledge.
What it means
Sourced reporting on a Treasury Secretary's stance toward the long end sits in a familiar pattern: Treasury officials periodically attempt to jawbone term premium when the back of the curve sells off on deficit concerns, and such episodes have historically produced short-lived responses unless followed by concrete changes to issuance composition or buyback policy. The internal logic of the report bears scrutiny, since shorting the long end drives yields up rather than down; deliberate upward pressure on the benchmark would invert the usual posture of debt managers, and conflation of direction by sources or the reporter is a known failure mode in this genre. The distinction that matters is between rhetoric aimed at deterring speculative shorts at the long end, which costs nothing, and actual balance sheet action, which carries fiscal and credibility costs if yields fail to respond. Watchpoints are any shift in refunding mix between bills and coupons, signals on buybacks, and whether the term premium or the real rate component of the benchmark is doing the moving. As single-reporter sourcing attributed to unnamed executives, this is directional sentiment rather than policy until echoed by official channels.
Sources
- US Treasury sells USD 13bln of 20-year bonds; tails 0.9bps
- Auction History: US Treasury to sell USD 13bln of 20-year bonds on 21st October; to settle on 22nd October
- ECB's Kazaks says that some more policy tightening might be necessary if inflation continues to reside above target; recent rise in yields has already tightened financing conditions, Econostream reports
- Indonesian Central Bank leaves the BI rate unchanged at 5.75%, raises the Deposit Facility rate to 5.00% (prev. 4.75%)
- BoJ's Himino says upside inflation risks remain high, warning that delays in adjusting monetary policy could allow inflation risks to materialise and harm the economy.
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