Fed Discount Rate Minutes: In December, FOMC approved 25bps cut in rate on discounts and advances made under primary credit programme
The FOMC's decision to cut the primary credit rate by 25bps to 3.75% signals a cautious approach amid stable economic activity, reflecting some sectoral variability.
Trump's son-in-law Kushner says today was a very big milestone and Trump is comfortable with the security guarantees
French President Macron says US has clarified its role in Ukraine including frontline monitoring and confirms a US backstop
Fed Discount Rate Minutes: In December, FOMC approved 25bps cut in rate on discounts and advances made under primary credit programme
[MARKET UPDATE]: Oil continues to see weakness amid more positive rhetoric regarding US/Ukraine and an agreement
US special envoy Witkoff thinks they are largely finished on security guarantees and protocols; close to finishing off a robust prosperity agreement for Ukraine
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Discount Rate
- The directors of four Federal Reserve Banks had voted to establish a decrease in the primary credit rate. The directors of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had voted on November 26, 2025, and the directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Philadelphia, St. Louis, and San Francisco had voted on December 4, to establish the primary credit rate at 3.75 percent (a decrease from 4 percent).
- The directors of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston, Cleveland, Richmond, Atlanta, Chicago, Minneapolis, Kansas City, and Dallas had voted on December 4, 2025, to establish the primary credit rate at the existing level of 4 percent.
Economic Commentary
- Overall, Federal Reserve Bank directors noted stable economic activity, though conditions varied across sectors and Districts.
- Several directors commented on improved labor availability and modest wage pressures—outside of certain skilled positions that remain hard to fill—but also cited increased costs for health insurance.
- Several directors also noted the ongoing impact of technology and artificial intelligence (AI) on the labor market, including their effects on employment levels.
- While some directors described a mixed climate for business investment, most noted strong demand for investments related to AI and data center financing and construction.
- Most directors anticipated tariff-related and other cost increases in 2026. Several directors noted economic pressures on low-income households
This easing could influence market expectations around future rate paths, particularly as directors note mixed business investment conditions and cost pressures that might impact household spending — a key consideration amidst ongoing technological changes and strong demand for AI-related investments.
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