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Fed's Bostic (2027 Voter) says he expects GDP to grow upward of 2% in 2026

Fed's Bostic's comments indicate a moderate GDP growth outlook for 2026, but his emphasis on persistent inflationary pressures suggests that the Federal Reserve may need to maintain a restrictive stance on policy.

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Fed's Bostic (2027 Voter) says he expects GDP to grow upward of 2% in 2026

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  • Expects inflationary pressure to continue in 2026.
  • Many businesses are still incorporating tariffs into prices.
  • Inflation pressure is beyond tariffs with other factors like medical adding to inflationary pressure.
  • Labour market is balance and is not too tight nor too loose.
  • Government shutdown will continue to distort data until April or May.
  • Fed needs to stay restrictive because inflation remains high.
  • Fed's independence gives them the ability to be patient.
Context

This signal of sustained inflation and a balanced labor market could impact rate expectations and support the dollar, while cautioning against any premature easing of monetary policy.

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