Fed's Bostic (Retiring) says inflation is too high and needs to come down, want clear evidence of a return to 2%, via CNBC

Bostic emphasizes the need for the Fed to remain vigilant on inflation, suggesting that while risks are somewhat balanced, clear evidence of a return to the 2% target is necessary.

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Fed's Bostic (Retiring) says inflation is too high and needs to come down, want clear evidence of a return to 2%, via CNBC

US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM (Dec) M/M 0.4% (Prev. 0.2%)

US PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (Dec) Y/Y 3.5% (Prev. 3.5%)

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Policy:

  • Fed should be more patient for now.
  • Still think we need to be somewhat restrictive.
  • A case can be made that inflation and job risks are now in balance.
  • Rate decision involves 12 people.
  • Two cuts in 2026 is not the baseline case.

Inflation:

  • Still have ways to go on inflation, need to be vigilant.
  • Still tariff effects on prices that have yet to come through.
  • Expects inflation to be stubborn.

Labour Market:

  • Downside risk to labour market is much further away than it was.

Fed Chair:

  • Do not know Warsh well, but head he is quite thoughtful.
  • Independence of the Fed is always a concern.

Balance Sheet:

  • Balance sheet grew in response to crisis, but should back out of MBS.
  • Current balance sheet rise is appropriate and needs to grow with the economy.
Context

His comments indicate a cautious stance, reinforcing a potentially patient approach to future rate decisions, with implications for the dollar and broader fixed income markets as the Fed navigates inflationary pressures and growth dynamics.

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