Fed's Bostic (Retiring) says inflation is too high and needs to come down, want clear evidence of a return to 2%, via CNBC
Importance
Level 1
Policy:
- Fed should be more patient for now.
- Still think we need to be somewhat restrictive.
- A case can be made that inflation and job risks are now in balance.
- Rate decision involves 12 people.
- Two cuts in 2026 is not the baseline case.
Inflation:
- Still have ways to go on inflation, need to be vigilant.
- Still tariff effects on prices that have yet to come through.
- Expects inflation to be stubborn.
Labour Market:
- Downside risk to labour market is much further away than it was.
Fed Chair:
- Do not know Warsh well, but head he is quite thoughtful.
- Independence of the Fed is always a concern.
Balance Sheet:
- Balance sheet grew in response to crisis, but should back out of MBS.
- Current balance sheet rise is appropriate and needs to grow with the economy.
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