Fed's Jefferson says do not want to prejudge January rate-setting decision
Importance
Level 1
- Some upside risks remain, but expect inflation to return to path back to 2%.
- Inflation somewhat elevated, climb in core good prices inconsistent with return to 2% inflation.
- Cautiously optimistic for 2026, though face risks to both employment, price stability goals.
- Pleased to see increased use of standing Repo operations when economically sensible.
- Expect 2% economic growth in near term, unemployment rate to hold steady this year.
- Fed rate cuts since 2024 have brought policy rate into range consistent with neutral.
- Current policy stance leaves US well positioned to determine how much and when to adjust policy rate.
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