Fed's Kashkari (2026 Voter) says the economy is confusing and job market is showing signs of weakness; inflation is still too high but moving in the right way
Importance
Level 1
- Overall, the economy seems quite resilient.
- Economy has not slowed as much as expected, describes it as K-shaped.
- Wonders how tight monetary policy actually is.
- Has seen less tariff pass through than expected.
- Tariffs haven't been gut punch many feared, but long term story still playing out.
- 2% inflation remains target, remains committed to getting that level.
- Does not expect inflation to surge again.
- Current Fed balance sheet expansion is not QE.
- Sees pretty good growth, does not see need for Fed QE.
- Biggest barrier to housing market is supply.
- Declines to comment on Trump administration buying mortgage bonds.
- Job and inflation goals are in tension.
- Welcomes recent decline in unemployment rate.
- Is not sure what the current breakeven rate is for the job market.
- Will take a few more months for government data to recover from the shutdown impact.
- Feels pretty confident job market is moving sideways and inflation is easing.
- Households have pretty good balance sheets.
- Inflation has been the main driver thus far of financial distress.
- Hasn't seen anything very alarming in consumer borrowing yet.
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