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Fed's Logan (2026 voter, Hawk) says uncertainty in the economy continues, one of the biggest uncertainties is from the tech sector

Importance
Level 1

Economy/Policy

  • Supported January decision to hold amid a stabilising job market.
  • Is not fully convinced they are on a path to 2% inflation.
  • SCOTUS decision has led to more uncertainty.
  • Upside inflation risks remain.
  • Policy is well positioned to deal with risks to the mandate.
  • Is worried about economic demand outstripping supply.
  • Around 30k per month is the job market breakeven rate, at this point.
  • Does not want to speculate about future policy decisions. 
  • Thinks policy is well positioned.
  • It is important to look at the issue of interest rate Fed targets for policy. 

Liquidity/Reserves

  • Important for banks to make sure they're ready to access liquidity.
  • Would like a central clearing for Fed Repo operations.
  • It is challenging to define what ample reserves means.
  • Demand for reserves will change over time.
  • Very possible system could change to lower demand for reserves
  • Payment tech innovations, regulations could change demand for liquidity.
  • Does not have strong views about direction of liquidity regulations.
  • Should look at regulations to see if liquidity is too tied down.
  • Dollar swap lines have been very powerful in times of stress.
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