Fed's Logan (2026 voter, Hawk) says uncertainty in the economy continues, one of the biggest uncertainties is from the tech sector
Importance
Level 1
Economy/Policy
- Supported January decision to hold amid a stabilising job market.
- Is not fully convinced they are on a path to 2% inflation.
- SCOTUS decision has led to more uncertainty.
- Upside inflation risks remain.
- Policy is well positioned to deal with risks to the mandate.
- Is worried about economic demand outstripping supply.
- Around 30k per month is the job market breakeven rate, at this point.
- Does not want to speculate about future policy decisions.
- Thinks policy is well positioned.
- It is important to look at the issue of interest rate Fed targets for policy.
Liquidity/Reserves
- Important for banks to make sure they're ready to access liquidity.
- Would like a central clearing for Fed Repo operations.
- It is challenging to define what ample reserves means.
- Demand for reserves will change over time.
- Very possible system could change to lower demand for reserves
- Payment tech innovations, regulations could change demand for liquidity.
- Does not have strong views about direction of liquidity regulations.
- Should look at regulations to see if liquidity is too tied down.
- Dollar swap lines have been very powerful in times of stress.
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