Fed's Logan (2026 voter, Hawk) says uncertainty in the economy continues, one of the biggest uncertainties is from the tech sector
Newsquawk Staff ·
Economy/Policy
- Supported January decision to hold amid a stabilising job market.
- Is not fully convinced they are on a path to 2% inflation.
- SCOTUS decision has led to more uncertainty.
- Upside inflation risks remain.
- Policy is well positioned to deal with risks to the mandate.
- Is worried about economic demand outstripping supply.
- Around 30k per month is the job market breakeven rate, at this point.
- Does not want to speculate about future policy decisions.
- Thinks policy is well positioned.
- It is important to look at the issue of interest rate Fed targets for policy.
Liquidity/Reserves
- Important for banks to make sure they're ready to access liquidity.
- Would like a central clearing for Fed Repo operations.
- It is challenging to define what ample reserves means.
- Demand for reserves will change over time.
- Very possible system could change to lower demand for reserves
- Payment tech innovations, regulations could change demand for liquidity.
- Does not have strong views about direction of liquidity regulations.
- Should look at regulations to see if liquidity is too tied down.
- Dollar swap lines have been very powerful in times of stress.
What it means
Fed's Logan is highlighting persistent uncertainties in the U.S. economy, particularly from the tech sector, which could impact inflation and monetary policy. His cautious stance suggests that while the Fed is currently positioned well, he remains concerned about potential upside risks to inflation and economic demand exceeding supply, indicating that the rate path might be influenced by evolving economic conditions.
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 3.3% (prev. 3.4%)
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices rangebound ahead of FOMC and major earnings
- UK DMO says gross gilt issuance planned for 2026/27 is GBP 250.6bln (exp. 249.6bln, prev. 246.2bln in April remit)
- Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th
- US Midterms (6 days out): Florida flips to a Republican early-vote lead and Kansas narrows further; Crystal Ball shifts House and Senate races towards Democrats
Related headlines
- Al-Mayadeen correspondent in Iran says Iranian officials believe that Trump wants to bring the nuclear issue into the negotiations, which Iran rejects1 hour ago
- Senior US Treasury trade official Eric Ettorre will leave to join Netflix (NFLX), reports Axios1 hour ago
- Israeli election results show Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats, Eisenkot's bloc with 47 and Arab parties with 19, following the counting of all votes excluding double-envelope ballots, i24 reports2 hours ago
- Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Spokesman says protocol for building small reactors with Russia is being finalized3 hours ago
- Phillips 66 (PSX) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 14.08 (exp. 11.73)4 hours ago
- Russian Deputy PM Novak says they are open to work with US partners on energy, but there are no current discussions around a return to specific projects4 hours ago
- Amphenol (APH) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.80 (exp. 0.73), Sales 10.2bln (exp. 9.49bln)3 hours ago
- GE Vernova (GEV) expects USD 50-100mln of annual cost synergies from Trench by 2030, according to the conference call3 hours ago
- Etsy Inc. (ETSY) Q3 2026 (USD): EPS 1.00 (exp. 0.77), Revenue 692mln (exp. 668mln)4 hours ago
- Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.76 (exp. 2.41), Revenue 1.99bln (exp. 1.99bln)4 hours ago
- Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.82 (exp. 2.77), Revenue 5.5bln (exp. 5.48bln). FY revenue growth view of 6%, adj. EPS growth view of 10-12% 4 hours ago
- Aon (AON) Q3 (USD): Adj. EPS 3.36 (exp. 3.30), Revenue 4.1bln (exp. 4.08bln)4 hours ago
- GE Healthcare Technologies Inc. (GEHC) Q3 (USD): Adj. EPS 1.34 (exp. 1.20), Revenue 5.5bln (exp. 5.35bln), Adj. EBIT 913mln (exp. 838.8mln)4 hours ago
- GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Q3 (USD) Revenue 12.6bln (exp. 11.99bln), Adj. EBITDA 1.9bln (exp. 1.69bln). Current FY Rev. 46-5-47.5bln (exp. 46.33bln)4 hours ago
- GE Vernova (GEV) to acquire Trench Group for USD 9bln4 hours ago