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Fed's Williams says if inflation ebbs, further reductions in policy rate will eventually be warranted

Importance
Level 1

Policy

  • Eventual rate cuts are aimed at keeping policy from being too restrictive.
  • Rate policy stance is currently 'well positioned'

Jobs

  • Economy on solid footing, and the job market is stabilizing.
  • Expects the unemployment rate to edge down this year and next.

Inflation

  • Recent data on inflation has been reassuring.
  • Tariffs are a key driver of inflation but that pressure should wane this year.
  • So far there is no major second round impact from tariffs.
  • Expects inflation to ease to 2.5% this year and 2% in 2027.

Growth

  • Sees 2.5% GDP growth in 2026.
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