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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude-specific newsflow remains light, benchmarks retrace bid following US-Iranian tensions

The recent geopolitical tension following the U.S.

Newsquawk StaffPublished On the live feed at — 3 more headlines followed before this page went public
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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude-specific newsflow remains light, benchmarks retrace bid following US-Iranian tensions

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  • Crude benchmarks initially held onto the gains seen in the latter end of Tuesday's session, which came from reports that the US shot down an Iranian surveillance drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln. WTI and Brent peaked at USD 64.16/bbl and USD 68.25/bbl respectively early in the APAC session, just shy of Tuesday's high, before steadily paring back and retracing to the key USD 63/bbl and USD 67/bbl handle.
  • Crude-specific newsflow has been light thus far, however Venezuela's top economic advisor said he wants Venezuela to be known as a country with one of the highest oil production levels. This suggests a possible influx of barrels going into the market.
  • US private inventory data showed an highly unexpected draw of 11.1mln barrels. This comes ahead of the EIA crude stocks data later today, with expectations of a draw of 2mln barrels, slightly less than the prior week's draw of 2.3mln barrels.
Context

downing of an Iranian drone briefly supported crude prices, but benchmarks have since retraced, suggesting this initial reaction may have been overdone. Additionally, Venezuelan ambitions to boost oil production could add supply pressure, especially with the upcoming EIA data, where a significant private inventory draw was reported. Overall, expect volatility in oil prices as dealers digest both geopolitical developments and supply forecasts.

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