[MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude trades slightly softer but near this week's highs as focus remains on US and Iran
Newsquawk Staff ·
- Crude benchmarks are taking a breather, with both WTI and Brent trading subdued, though still near highs for the week, due to the heightening geopolitical tension between the US and Iran. US President Trump yesterday reiterated that Iran has 10-15 days to strike a deal, else something bad will happen. However, during a report by the WSJ, which stated that Trump is reportedly weighing a limited strike to force Iran into a nuclear deal, the President is still considering a range of military options, but says he still prefers diplomacy, leading to a drop in prices at the time. Iran, in a letter to the UN, said that if it were attacked, then all bases, facilities and assets of a hostile force in the region will constitute legitimate targets within the framework of Iran's defensive response. Elsewhere, on Russia and Ukraine, Tass reported that the next round of talks is possible next week. WTI and Brent are trading at the lower range of USD 66.10-67.03/bbl and 71.35-72.34/bbl, respectively.
- Elsewhere, data from EIA crude oil stock change yesterday came in at -9.0mln vs. Exp. 2.1mln (Prev. 8.5mln). US President Trump also announced that 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil are on the way to Houston, and US-Venezuela energy cooperation is going well. The New Zealand government also provided a Russian sanctions update, which includes a designation of 23 individuals, 13 entities, and 100 vessels, while it lowered the oil price cap on Russian oil from USD 47.60/bbl to USD 44.10/bbl.
What it means
Crude prices are under pressure despite lingering near weekly highs, primarily due to escalating tensions between the US and Iran. The potential for military action alongside diplomatic efforts highlights a volatile geopolitical landscape that could affect oil supply; traders should be mindful of how this dynamic may continue to sway crude prices in the near term, especially in light of Trump's statements and Iran's defensive stance.
- Al-Mayadeen correspondent in Iran says Iranian officials believe that Trump wants to bring the nuclear issue into the negotiations, which Iran rejects
- Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th
- US Midterms (6 days out): Florida flips to a Republican early-vote lead and Kansas narrows further; Crystal Ball shifts House and Senate races towards Democrats
- Israeli election results show Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats, Eisenkot's bloc with 47 and Arab parties with 19, following the counting of all votes excluding double-envelope ballots, i24 reports
- Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Spokesman says protocol for building small reactors with Russia is being finalized
Related headlines
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices rangebound ahead of FOMC and major earnings1 hour ago
- Senior US Treasury trade official Eric Ettorre will leave to join Netflix (NFLX), reports Axios1 hour ago
- Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) 3.3% (prev. 3.4%)21 min ago
- UK DMO says gross gilt issuance planned for 2026/27 is GBP 250.6bln (exp. 249.6bln, prev. 246.2bln in April remit)1 hour ago
- Amphenol (APH) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.80 (exp. 0.73), Sales 10.2bln (exp. 9.49bln)3 hours ago
- GE Vernova (GEV) expects USD 50-100mln of annual cost synergies from Trench by 2030, according to the conference call3 hours ago
- Etsy Inc. (ETSY) Q3 2026 (USD): EPS 1.00 (exp. 0.77), Revenue 692mln (exp. 668mln)4 hours ago
- Garmin Ltd. (GRMN) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.76 (exp. 2.41), Revenue 1.99bln (exp. 1.99bln)4 hours ago
- EIA Expectations: Crude +0.35M, Distillate -0.63M, Gasoline -1M56 min ago
- US EIA Heating Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23) 0.164M (Prev. 0.652M)41 min ago
- US EIA Crude Oil Imports Change (Oct/23) -0.796M (Prev. 0.837M)41 min ago
- EIA Cushing Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23) -0.624M (Prev. 0.987M)41 min ago
- US EIA Refinery Crude Runs Change (Oct/23) -0.123M (Prev. 0.034M)41 min ago
- US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (Oct/23) -1.892M vs. Exp. 0M (Prev. -3.061M); SPR falls 0.1mln to 282.6mln41 min ago
- US EIA Weekly Crude Production 13.992M (Prev. 13.269M)40 min ago