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[MARKET ANALYSIS] Dollar is rangebound after gaining yesterday on haven appeal

Newsquawk Staff ·

DXY: -0.1%

  • Takes a breather after gaining against its peers yesterday amid haven appeal and as the buck continued to nurse some of its YTD weakness, with momentum following the Warsh Fed Chair nomination remaining intact, although the rebound was capped following a slew of weaker-than-expected labour market metrics for the US.

EUR/USD: +0.1%

  • Ekes slight gains and looks to retest the 1.1800 level, albeit with price action contained following the uneventful ECB policy announcement in which the central bank maintained rates, as expected, and reiterated it is not pre-committing to a particular rate path with policy to remain data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting.

GBP/USD: -0.2%

  • Regained some composure after the prior day's underperformance which was caused by the BoE's dovish vote split in which the central bank kept rates unchanged at 3.75% as expected, but with 5 voting for hold and the remaining 4 voting for a 25bps cut (exp. 7-2).

USD/JPY:-0.2 %

  • Price action is choppy ahead of the election on Sunday and following disappointing Household Spending data from Japan, while BoJ's Masu reiterated that the central bank will raise rates if the economy and prices are in line with the BoJ's outlook.

Antipodeans: AUD/USD +0.2% / NZD/USD +0.2%

  • Rebounded from a weekly trough seen in early trade as the early declines in metals and stocks gradually stabilised.

What it means

The Dollar is mostly rangebound after a slight gain yesterday driven by haven demand amidst ongoing market uncertainty. Despite a resilient short-term appeal, the recent weaker labor market indicators suggest that any upside may be limited, particularly as central banks like the ECB and BoE have adopted a cautious stance. This dynamic could lead to further volatility across currency pairs, especially for GBP/USD and USD/JPY, in light of prevailing geopolitical and economic conditions.

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