[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed faltered as risk sentiment saw a fleeting recovery, US Challenger released early, Claims due later
Newsquawk Staff ·
- A contained start for fixed benchmarks with newsflow somewhat light early doors aside from ongoing digestion of updates regarding Venezuela.
- USTs got to a 112-21 peak, firmer by three ticks, and Bunds to a 128.15 high with gains of 10 ticks at most early doors. Thereafter, the benchmarks began to gradually trim as the risk tone lifted off lows into the morning, with assistance coming via reporting regarding NVIDIA. For USTs, an early release of December's Challenger Jobs series spurred no move, headline printed at 35.55k (prev. 71.3k).
- Note, while the bounce in sentiment was relatively short-lived, the fixed space hasn't been able to mount a recovery, leaving USTs at a 112-14 base and Bunds towards their 127.86 trough, lower by four and 20 ticks at most respectively.
- Supply this morning came from Spain (fine, but softer than is usually the case) and France (strong overall), but neither outing spurred any significant move.
- Gilts opened near-enough unchanged just above 92.00 before extending to 92.16 and then falling to a 91.88 low, in-fitting with action in peers. No move to the latest DMP survey.
What it means
The fixed income market is showing signs of weakness as risk sentiment briefly recovered, influenced by a lack of strong macro data. The early release of the Challenger Jobs report, indicating a notable decrease in job cuts, failed to spur any significant market reaction, leaving USTs and Bunds lower from their early gains. Overall, this highlights that despite a momentary lift in sentiment, fixed income benchmarks are still struggling to find a stable footing, which could suggest ongoing caution in the market ahead of U.S. job claims data later today.
- Newsquawk US Market Wrap - Stocks mixed on AI rebound ahead of US midterms
- Newsquawk US Daily Equity Opening News - AAPL falls on margin outlook; PLTR falls as US commercial growth slows
- Newsquawk Daily US Opening News - 3rd November 2026
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed income hit by geopolitically driven energy rebound, and counting down to the US midterms
- Newsquawk Daily Bond Auction Preview - 3rd November 2026
Related headlines
- US FX WRAP: Dollar sees two-way trade on geopols as US midterms await 5 days ago
- US EQUITY OPEN: Tech pares back some recent losses as US/Iran negotiations and US midterms are in focus5 days ago
- Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 4th November 20265 days ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY trades tentatively into midterms; AUD lags post-RBA, which avoided further hawkish guidance5 days ago
- UK DMO to sell GBP 1bln of 2056 5.375% Gilt on November 10th5 days ago
- UK sells GBP 3.25bln 4.625% 2037 Green Gilt: b/c 3.38x (prev. 3.31x), average yield 5.268% (prev. 4.934%) & tail 0.3bps (prev. 0.2bps)5 days ago
- TREASURY WRAP: T-NOTE FUTURES (Z6) SETTLE 11+ TICKS LOWER AT 106-165 days ago
- Israel has shared intelligence with the US asserting that Iran is considering the use of chemical weapons against its adversaries, information met with alarm by some American officials and deep skepticism by others, NYT reports citing sources5 days ago
- [PREVIEW] Riksbank Policy Decision on 4th November 20265 days ago
- US Midterms Cheat Sheet for Traders5 days ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Choppy trade in crude as eyes remain on the geopolitical landscape in the aftermath US mid-terms later today5 days ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses reverse Monday's gains as disappointing AAPL and PLTR guidance weighs on tech names5 days ago
- ECB’s Nagel says he is confident that France will get a grip on its budget issues; This isn't a task for monetary policy5 days ago
- ECB’s Sleijpen says the Iran shock is more persistent than earlier thought but we don’t really see second-round effects yet5 days ago
- ECB's Nagel says a rate hike in December is very likely going to be necessary5 days ago