Newsquawk Logo

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed finds itself marginally firmer into a potentially packed afternoon

Importance
Level 1
  • A contained start for fixed but with a very mild bullish bias emerging.
  • Overnight action was limited, USTs and Bunds in thin and familiar ranges.
  • Developments a touch light overnight, geopols aside, as we count down to today's data and potentially more pertinently the possible SCOTUS ruling re. tariffs (as was the case last week, a tariff update is not a certainty) and the meeting between US officials and representatives from Denmark and Greenland.
  • USTs at the upper-end of 112-05+ to 112-11 parameters, firmer by two ticks at best.
  • Bunds in-fitting, towards highs in narrow 127.98 to 128.16 confines. No follow-through to a handful of ECB officials this morning. Benchmarks await results from three auctions shortly.
  • Gilts opened with modest gains, reflecting the mild bullish bias in peers. Since, the benchmark has been choppy in 92.14 to 92.40 confines, but trades broadly in-line with the above. No move to remarks from BoE's Taylor, who stuck to his dovish script and largely echoed language from the December meeting; as a reminder, Taylor was in the majority who voted for a 25bps cut to 3.75%. UK supply was well received, sparking modest upside.
  • OATs await the no-confidence motions against PM Lecornu's government from both the Left and Right, though neither the LFI or RN measure is expected to pass. As such, OATs trade in-line with peers and the 10yr yield spread to Germany is steady at c. 71bps.
#UNITED STATES#USD#EUR#GERMANY#JAPAN#JPY#UNITED KINGDOM#GBP#EUROPE#BOE#ECB#GEOPOLITICAL#FOREX#FIXED INCOME#EQUITIES#ENERGY#METALS#EU SESSION#CENTRAL BANK#GILTS#GERMAN BONDS#DOVE#HIGHLIGHTED#WTI#COMMODITIES#GOLD#METALS & MINING#MATERIALS (GROUP)#BRENT CRUDE#DXY#TARIFF#MARKET ANALYSIS#MARKET UPDATE
Published: Updated: