[MARKET ANALYSIS] Mostly uneventful trade across G10s but EUR subdued post-PMI & German State CPI
Newsquawk Staff · Newswires ·
- DXY resides in a narrow 98.161-98.425 range after recovering from worst levels on the back of some EUR softness (more below), although price action across FX thus far has been muted vs other markets (Equities, Fixed Income, Commodities). The US docket for today only consists of S&P Services and Composite Final PMIs alongside commentary from Fed's Barkin and Miran. Perhaps more importantly, US President Trump is due to give remarks later today.
- EUR is on a softer footing, with early weakness commencing shortly after the revisions lower to the French PMIs, whilst downward revisions in German Composite and EZ PMIs further weighed on the single currency as some of the state CPI components came in cooler than implied for the mainland at 13:00GMT. EUR/USD resides towards the bottom end of a 1.1708-1.1743.
- GBP/USD trades flat towards the bottom of a 1.3528-1.3568 range with little immediate move seen on the slight revision higher in UK Services and Composite PMIs, with EUR/GBP flat intraday in a narrow 0.8644-0.8660. USD/JPY is also flat in a 156.17-156.80 range and largely trading at the whim of the USD. Antipodeans also see little price action but AUD continues to be supported by the recent rally in copper and gold.
What it means
The G10 forex market is experiencing muted trading, with the euro showing weakness following lower-than-expected PMIs and state CPI data from Germany, which suggests underlying economic pressures. This subdued euro impact has kept the DXY range-bound, indicating limited volatility across major currency pairs, although attention will pivot towards upcoming U.S. economic data and comments from President Trump. The overall market dynamics hint at a cautious sentiment ahead of potential developments in U.S. monetary policy.
- US Midterms Cheat Sheet for Traders
- Newsquawk US Market Wrap - Stocks mixed on AI rebound ahead of US midterms
- Israel has shared intelligence with the US asserting that Iran is considering the use of chemical weapons against its adversaries, information met with alarm by some American officials and deep skepticism by others, NYT reports citing sources
- Israeli PM Netanyahu was reportedly the one who proposed to US President Trump the ending of financial aid to Israel, N13 reports citing sources
- US EQUITY OPEN: Tech pares back some recent losses as US/Iran negotiations and US midterms are in focus
Related headlines
- Newsquawk Daily Economic Releases - 4th November 20265 days ago
- US FX WRAP: Dollar sees two-way trade on geopols as US midterms await 5 days ago
- Eight tankers carrying 300,800 tonnes of Russian diesel are being monitored on potential voyages to the US, with seven declaring the US as their destination and arrivals expected from November 7th, according to Ukrainian sources cited by an RFE journalist5 days ago
- TREASURY WRAP: T-NOTE FUTURES (Z6) SETTLE 11+ TICKS LOWER AT 106-165 days ago
- Sources close to the White House report a divisiveness in the Trump administration's approach to Iran, reports ILNA5 days ago
- US and Venezuela discuss fresh aluminium cargo amid trade revival, reports Bloomberg5 days ago
- Amgen Inc. (AMGN) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 6.45 (exp. 5.79), Revenue 10.4bln (exp. 10.07bln), Adj. operating income 4.7bln (exp. 4.33bln)5 days ago
- ECB’s Sleijpen says the Iran shock is more persistent than earlier thought but we don’t really see second-round effects yet5 days ago
- Meta (META) launches USD 15bln 5-parter: 5yr, 7yr, 10yr, 20yr, 30yr5 days ago
- The Mosaic Company (MOS) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS -0.19 (exp. -0.01), Revenue 3.1bln (exp. 3.05bln)5 days ago
- Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 2.09 (exp. 1.95), Revenue 13.4bln (exp. 13.1bln)5 days ago
- Arista Networks Inc. (ANET) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 1.20 (exp. 1.08), Revenue 3.66bln (exp. 3.33bln)5 days ago
- Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 4.66 (exp. 4.49), Revenue 8.9bln (exp. 9.55bln)5 days ago
- [ANALYSIS] US Midterms: Senate, Governor and PUC indicative timings5 days ago
- Block Inc. (XYZ) Q3 2026 (USD): Adj. EPS 1.13 (exp. 1.03), Revenue 6.72bln (exp. 6.58bln)5 days ago