[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices are rangebound amid ongoing US-Iran geopolitical uncertainty, but with Trump insisting on negotiations
Newsquawk Staff ·
WTI/Brent: WTI Mar'26 +0.4% / Brent Apr'26 +0.3%
- Crude futures remain afloat but with gains limited following the recent choppy performance alongside mixed geopolitical-related headlines, including reports that the Pentagon was said to be preparing a second aircraft carrier to deploy to the Middle East, although officials have cautioned that there had been no official order to deploy the second carrier and that plans could change. Furthermore, President Trump said following a meeting with Israeli PM Netanyahu that he insisted negotiations with Iran should continue to see whether a deal can be reached, which would be his preference.
Gold: -0.5%
- Mildly retreated after hitting resistance around the USD 5,100/oz level and which follows some unwinding of Fed rate cut bets following the recent better-than-expected US jobs data.
Copper: +0.3%
- Saw two-way price action amid a somewhat tentative mood in Asia and the lack of conviction in its largest buyer, China.
What it means
Oil prices remain stable amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, suggesting that while geopolitical risks are present, current developments are not compelling enough to push prices out of their recent range. Trump's push for continued negotiations indicates a potential for diplomatic resolution, which could dampen volatility in energy markets if successful. However, the deployment of military assets underscores lingering uncertainties that keep traders cautious in the short term.
- Al-Mayadeen correspondent in Iran says Iranian officials believe that Trump wants to bring the nuclear issue into the negotiations, which Iran rejects
- Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th
- US Midterms (6 days out): Florida flips to a Republican early-vote lead and Kansas narrows further; Crystal Ball shifts House and Senate races towards Democrats
- Israeli election results show Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats, Eisenkot's bloc with 47 and Arab parties with 19, following the counting of all votes excluding double-envelope ballots, i24 reports
- Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Spokesman says protocol for building small reactors with Russia is being finalized
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