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[MARKET UPDATE] Antipodeans rebound, havens trade flat, DXY subdued under 98.00

The DXY remains subdued under 98.00 as markets await upcoming data and comments from Fed officials, indicating continued cautious sentiment in the dollar.

Newsquawk StaffPublished On the live feed at — 3 more headlines followed before this page went public
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[MARKET UPDATE] Crude prices dip as US and Iran informal talks enter the second round

[MARKET UPDATE] Antipodeans rebound, havens trade flat, DXY subdued under 98.00

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  • DXY marginally pulled back since the start of the APAC session after gaining against its peers yesterday amid haven appeal and as the buck continued to nurse some of its YTD weakness, with momentum following the Warsh Fed Chair nomination remaining intact yesterday, despite the slew of weaker-than-expected labour market metrics. The European morning has seen trade within tight parameters as traders look ahead to the University of Michigan prelim survey and comments from Fed's Jefferson. Note, the US nonfarm payrolls data that was originally scheduled for today will not be released due to the partial US government shutdown; the data is now due for release on 11th February. DXY resides in a 97.75-97.97 range after finding support near 98.00 once again after printing a 97.60-97.98 parameter yesterday.
  • EUR/USD ekes mild gains and retested the 1.1800 level, albeit with price action contained following the uneventful ECB policy announcement yesterday, with several ECB speakers offering commentary today, albeit with no obvious impact on EUR assets. Further, the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters suggested headline and core HICP inflation expectations unchanged across all horizons, while Real GDP growth expectations unchanged except for a slight upward revision for 2026. EUR/USD currently trades within a 1.1765-1.1801, versus Thursday's 1.1775-1.1822 range.
  • GBP/USD regained some composure after the prior day's underperformance, which was caused by the BoE's dovish vote split and UK political woes and calls grow for UK PM Starmer to resign. GBP/USD trades between 1.3508-1.3581 compared to yesterday's wide 1.3518-1.3654 parameter.
  • USD/JPY declined overnight but trimmed losses to trade flat at the time of writing, but with price action choppy ahead of the election on Sunday and following disappointing Household Spending data from Japan, while BoJ's Masu reiterated that the central bank will raise rates if the economy and prices are in line with the BoJ's outlook.
  • Antipodeans outperform across the G10 space, rebounding from a weekly trough as the early sell-off in metals and stocks gradually stabilised and then reversed.
Context

Antipodean currencies are showing strength, rebounding after recent performance lows, likely supported by a stabilization in commodities. Overall, traders seem to be in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the re-scheduled US nonfarm payrolls data, which could influence future dollar movement.

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