US Used Car Prices MoM (Jul) M/M -1.4% (Prev. 0.1%)

Used vehicle prices have been among the noisier second-tier releases, but they carry an outsized historical role in the goods disinflation story, since swings in used car CPI were a leading marker of the broader goods deflation and reflation episodes that drove the inflation debate in recent cycles. Wholesale gauges of this kind have tended to lead the CPI used car component by a couple of months, so the read-through for rates desks is less the print itself than what it implies for the goods pipeline feeding the next inflation reports. A swing of this size from a flat prior reads as renewed downward pressure on goods prices, which historically has pulled on the core goods portion of the inflation basket rather than the stickier services side that central banks now watch more closely. The distinction worth drawing is between wholesale and retail: wholesale moves pass through with a lag and can reverse seasonally, while the CPI component is what actually enters policy reaction functions. Worth watching is whether subsequent wholesale readings confirm the direction and how it maps into the next core goods prints, since single-month reversals in this series have frequently been retraced.