Analyst US PCE Expectations after CPI: Pantheon see core PCE at 0.26% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y in March

The analysts at Pantheon are forecasting core PCE inflation to come in at 0.26% month-on-month and 3.1% year-on-year for March, following the recent CPI report.

Newsquawk StaffPublished 10 Apr 2026, 13:19 UTCOn the live feed at 12:59 UTC — 5 more headlines followed before this page went public

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PCE expectations: Pantheon Macroeconomics estimate the core PCE deflator rose by 0.26% in March, lifting inflation rate to 3.1% from 2.9% in February

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Analyst US PCE Expectations after CPI: Pantheon see core PCE at 0.26% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y in March

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Context

This outlook suggests a continued moderation in inflation, which may impact expectations around Federal Reserve policy and interest rates. If realized, these figures could contribute to a less hawkish stance by the Fed, influencing both market rates and risk sentiment.

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