BoC leaves rates on hold at 2.25%, as expected; removes language that current policy rate remains appropriate
Importance
Level 1
- Removes language that "Governing Council judges the current policy rate remains appropriate"
- “Risks to growth look tilted to the downside.”
- “Inflation risks have gone up due to higher energy prices.”
- “We continue to expect the Canadian economy to grow modestly as it adjusts to US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty, but recent data suggest that near-term economic growth will be weaker than anticipated in January.”
- “The labour market remains soft.”
- Employment gains in the fourth quarter of 2025 were largely reversed in the first two months of 2026, and the unemployment rate rose to 6.7% in February.
- “It’s too early to assess the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on growth in Canada.”
- “The war in the Middle East has increased volatility in global energy prices and financial markets, and heightened the risks to the global economy.”
- “The breadth and duration of the conflict, and hence its economic impacts, are highly uncertain.”
- “Since the outbreak of the conflict in the Middle East, global oil and natural gas prices have risen sharply, and this will boost global inflation in the near-term.”
- Transportation bottlenecks stemming from the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz could impact the supply of other commodities, such as fertilizer.
- “The sharp increase in global energy prices has led to increases in gasoline prices, and this will push up total inflation in the coming months.”
- “We will continue to assess the impact of US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty, and how the Canadian economy is adjusting.”
- “We are also monitoring the unfolding conflict in the Middle East closely and assessing its impact on growth and inflation.”
- “As the outlook evolves, we stand ready to respond as needed.”
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