BoJ Board Member Takata says fears of Japan's economy returning to deflation have been dispelled and believes it's necessary to move the BoJ's focus more to upswing in prices
Newsquawk Staff ·
Says
- Overseas economies have grown moderately on the whole, although some weakness seen.
- Even after December rate hike, real short term interest rates have been significantly negative in Japan.
- Proposed a rate hike in January on the view that BoJ must continue adjusting real interest rates, which remain significantly lower than the rates seen overseas.
- Must conduct further rate hikes in a gradual manner.
- BoJ should take time and be prudent in reducing its JGB purchases
- Price increases now have a greater tendency to generate second-round effects
- Must carefully monitor divergence in monetary policy stances between Japan and abroad, particularly for FX volatility
- Need to consider a response for the bond market in exceptional cases
- BoJ should make a further “gear shift” on rates and communicate on the assumption its price target is almost achieved
What it means
BoJ Board Member Takata's remarks signal a potential shift in Japan's monetary policy focus towards addressing inflation, suggesting that deflation fears are alleviating. His proposal for a rate hike emphasizes the need to gradually adjust real interest rates in response to rising prices, indicating a growing awareness of overseas economic conditions. This shift could impact the JPY and bond markets, emphasizing the importance of monitoring global monetary policy divergences, particularly for FX stability.
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