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BoJ Governor Ueda says no change to BoJ view that expects underlying inflation to be around 2% from H2 2026

BoJ Governor Ueda's comments indicate that while inflation expectations remain around 2% in the medium term, the lack of anchoring suggests ongoing uncertainty in the economic outlook.

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BoJ Governor Ueda says can not say how many months it would take to gauge timing of next rate hike, will look to see if underlying inflation has a clear upward risks

BoJ Governor Ueda says no change to BoJ view that expects underlying inflation to be around 2% from H2 2026

BoJ Governor Ueda says want to take a little more time in gauging how Middle East situation would affect Japanese economy and prices

BoJ Governor Ueda says likelihood of price and economic outlook materialising has fallen due to Middle East uncertainty

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  • Underlying inflation is not anchored at 2%.
  • Held rates because the likelihood of the main scenario outlook has lowered. 
Context

This dovish tone implies that interest rates may remain lower for longer, potentially impacting the JPY and making fixed income assets more attractive as the market reassesses risk and inflation outlooks. Overall, this could signify a cautious stance from the BoJ, which might also affect commodity prices, including gold, in the long run.

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