Brazil's Finance Minister Durigan says they are making an effort to lower interest rates
Newsquawk Staff ·
- There is no risk of the Treasury failing to pay its debt.
What it means
Public pressure from a finance minister on the central bank to lower rates is a recurring feature of Brazil's policy landscape, where the monetary authority's formal autonomy has repeatedly been tested by fiscal principals seeking cheaper debt service. Episodes of this kind have historically mattered less for the immediate rate path than for what they signal about the fiscal-monetary mix: markets have tended to read sustained political pressure as a risk premium story for the long end and the currency rather than as a dovish signal for the front end, since forced easing against inflation has in past cycles produced higher, not lower, term rates. The accompanying assertion that there is no risk of the Treasury failing to pay its debt is the kind of statement officials typically make only when debt sustainability questions are circulating, and denials of this sort have on previous occasions drawn more attention to the underlying concern than they defused. The actors and their form are established: Brazil's finance ministry has a track record of advocating lower rates while the central bank has historically pushed back citing its inflation mandate. The tells worth noting are whether the central bank's leadership responds publicly, whether the remarks coincide with any shift in the fiscal framework or primary balance targets, and how the curve behaves, since steepening alongside currency softness would confirm the risk-premium reading rather than the easing one.
- Datafolha poll shows Bolsonaro is seen with 47% of votes vs President Lula at 46% in the Brazil presidential runoff
- RN's Marine Le Pen would win the first round of the French election, Cluster 17 poll shows; Philippe and Melenchon would tie for 2nd place
- Romanian naval authority says crew evacuated from a commercial ship which caught fire in Romanian territorial waters; unclear whether ship was hit by drones, an investigation is pending
- Denmark Foreign Ministry says if US wishes to explore Greenlandic subsoil for oil, gas and minerals, this must take place within the framework of the relevant Greenlandic legislation
- RN's Le Pen says she believes that France is not in a position to finance Ukraine
Related headlines
- UK Chancellor Healey is reportedly making plans to cut the cost of hiring under-25-year-olds at the UK Budget, City AM reports citing sourcesOct 14
- Italian PM Meloni says tax breaks for software investment will be included in the 2027 budgetOct 12
- Eurogroup Chief Pierrakakis says EU approves Greece's energy escape clause requestOct 09
- US President Trump touts yesterday's stock market performanceOct 07
- US President Trump says pretend I'm running in this election and if we don't win, they will end up impeaching meOct 02
- Former German Finance Minister Kukies is said not to succeed Schnabel at the ECB1 hour ago
- Newsquawk Daily Asia-Pac Opening News - 22nd October 20261 day ago
- Newsquawk European Market Wrap - 21st October 20261 day ago
- Japanese Finance Minister Katayama says they are to accelerate virtuous cycle of investment, wage gain.1 day ago
- French Finance Minister says "we have instruments to pass a budget"2 days ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] USD marginally firmer; AUD outperforms; price action quiet elsewhere2 days ago
- Japanese Finance Minister Katayama says the government is coordinating closely with the BoJ, with no major divergence on the inflation outlook or monetary policy2 days ago
- Newsquawk Daily US Opening News - 20th October 20262 days ago
- Japanese Finance Minister Katayama says no decisions have been made on funding defence spending increases, but measures to secure stable funding will be considered while maintaining fiscal sustainability3 days ago
- South Korea's Finance Minister expects economic growth of 3.4-3.6% in 20264 days ago