Citi says the global economy is better positioned to absorb an oil shock, with the recession threshold higher even if oil reaches USD 100/bbl.

Context

Citi's assessment that the global economy is better prepared for a potential oil shock suggests a more resilient economic outlook, particularly if oil prices rise to USD 100 per barrel. This could impact inflation projections and central bank policies, possibly leading to less aggressive rate hikes than previously anticipated. Traders should monitor how this sentiment affects commodity prices and the broader risk sentiment across currencies like USD and EUR.

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