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APRIL 15, 2026 AT 03:31 PM

ECB's Nagel says there is not enough clarity about what happens in April, we need optionality; says question about Strait of Hormuz is essential, two weeks can bring a lot of new information

Importance
Level 1
  • Situation developed a little bit better over the course of last week.
  • Inflation expectations are well anchored, but this could still change.
  • There is no pre-commitment.
  • Somewhere in between baseline and adverse scenario.
  • Asked about if ECB will hike next, says he will not exclude one or the other.
  • He needs more information.
  • We need some time.
  • As long as situation in middle east and Strait of Hormuz is not resolved, the danger increases they see an inflation push.
  • Appreciates optimism in equity markets. 
  • ECB should be vigilant and cautious and look at all information. 
  • Asked about pain threshold for inflation, does not give concrete answer, says ECB will deliver on price stability. 
Created: 05 / 01 / 2026 / 02:26Updated: 05 / 01 / 2026 / 02:26