Fed Chair Powell (post-meeting statement) says he will continue to serve as Governor after term as Chair ends, until the DoJ probe is well and truly over

Fed Chair Powell's post-meeting statement suggests a continued commitment to the current policy stance while emphasizing data dependence.

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STANCE:

  • Policy stance is appropriate
  • Policy not on a pre-set course
  • Will set policy on incoming data, balance of risks
  • Fed focused on achieving full mandate

ECONOMY:

  • Economy expanding at a solid pace, job gains have remained low
  • Consumer spending has been resilient
  • Housing activity has remained weak
  • Outlook is highly uncertain

INFLATION:

  • Inflation is elevated
  • Sees PCE at 3.5% Y/Y in March, sees core PCE at 3.2%Y/Y in March
  • Long-term inflation expectations consistent with policy goal
  • Higher energy costs will push up inflation in near-term, more uncertain in the long-run

LABOUR MARKET:

  • Unemployment has changed little in recent months
  • Job gains have remained low
  • Labour demand has softened

MIDDLE EAST:

  • Continues to contribute to uncertainty

LEADERSHIP TRANSITION:

  • Congratulates Kevin Warsh for his nomination out of the Senate Banking Committee today
  • Fed's decisions reflect a collective view of the Committee, collaborative and deliberative process is best
  • Notes DoJ has shelved investigation, says DoJ as assured investigation will not be re-opened without further criminal information
  • Will continue to serve as governor after term as Chair ends, until the DoJ probe is well and truly over
Context
His intention to remain on as governor during the ongoing DoJ probe indicates stability in leadership amid an uncertain economic backdrop, particularly regarding inflation and the labor market. This may signal to markets that policy adjustments will remain cautious and collaborative, minimizing sudden shifts in monetary policy.

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