Fed Chair Warsh says "if we get policy right, and we will, inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past'
- Fed has no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation.
- Household consumption growth is moderate; manufacturing output has moved up steadily this year.
- Housing sector continues to lag.
- Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace, showing resilience in the face of recent developments.
- Don’t know the extent to which the economy will benefit from AI buildout.
- Most striking feature of the economy right now is business investment, which appears to be accelerating and reflects AI projects and spending.
- Productivity growth has been strong, predating gains from AI adoption.
- Labour market appears broadly stable.
- Fed is monitoring implications for inflation and labour market.
- Have a duty to take a fresh look at current practices to make sure we are serving our objectives.
- Purpose of task forces is to equip Fed to make better monetary policy decisions, put years of high inflation behind them.
- Job creation has kept pace with workforce; unemployment rate is low and has changed little over the past year; seeing relatively few layoffs; solid growth in nominal wages.
- Balance sheet task force will probe advantages and disadvantages of ample reserves regime and explore alternatives.
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