Fed Chair Warsh says "if we get policy right, and we will, inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past'

  • Fed has no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation.
  • Household consumption growth is moderate; manufacturing output has moved up steadily this year.
  • Housing sector continues to lag.
  • Economic activity is expanding at a solid pace, showing resilience in the face of recent developments.
  • Don’t know the extent to which the economy will benefit from AI buildout.
  • Most striking feature of the economy right now is business investment, which appears to be accelerating and reflects AI projects and spending.
  • Productivity growth has been strong, predating gains from AI adoption.
  • Labour market appears broadly stable.
  • Fed is monitoring implications for inflation and labour market.
  • Have a duty to take a fresh look at current practices to make sure we are serving our objectives.
  • Purpose of task forces is to equip Fed to make better monetary policy decisions, put years of high inflation behind them.
  • Job creation has kept pace with workforce; unemployment rate is low and has changed little over the past year; seeing relatively few layoffs; solid growth in nominal wages.
  • Balance sheet task force will probe advantages and disadvantages of ample reserves regime and explore alternatives.
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