Fed Governor Cook expects to see continued inflation pressure in coming months from AI and Middle East conflict
Fed Governor Cook expects to see continued inflation pressure in coming months from AI and Middle East conflict
[MARKET UPDATE]: Markets chop to geopolitical headlines; Stocks gain and oil slides on reports that Iran agrees to halt enrichment in exchange for easing US sanctions; but some of the moves pare on reports chance of an agreement are extremely slim
The chances of an agreement are extremely slim, according to a US source involved in negotiations with Iran, via Al Arabiya
Open the platform and use it. The whole workspace is free to try, with no signup and no card. When you want the headlines arriving live instead of on a delay, Newsquawk Pro is £24.99 for 7 days.
- Labour market well positioned to handle an increase in rates.
- Signs of broadening pressure in inflation data.
- Those gains will not come in time to offset broadening inflation this year.
- Highly attentive to a scenario in which AI leads to at least a temporary rise in unemployment.
- Limited evidence to date that AI is changing labour market structure.
- Fed would have limited tools to help in such a case, lowering rates could fuel inflation.
Single-governor commentary of this kind historically moves the front end only at the margin; what reprices the path is whether the framing reflects the committee's centre of gravity or an outlier view, and Cook has generally sat on the more dovish side of the distribution, which gives hawkish-sounding remarks from her somewhat more informational weight than the same words from a known hawk. The notable feature is the AI framing: flagging a scenario in which AI lifts unemployment while rate cuts would fuel inflation sketches a supply-shock logic in which the policy response is constrained, a stagflationary cell in the reaction-function grid that central banks in past episodes have treated as a case for holding rather than easing. The distinction worth drawing is between inflation pressure attributed to transitory drivers, such as conflict-related energy and insurance costs, and the 'broadening' language in the data, since the former argues for looking through and the latter for restriction. Remarks of this kind tend to raise the sensitivity of the next inflation and labour releases rather than shift pricing on their own. The immediate follow-ons are whether other officials adopt the broadening-inflation language and how the remarks sit against the prevailing consensus at the next meeting. As commentary rather than a decision, the signal is directional.
Related headlines
- Newsquwak European Market Wrap - 28th September 20263 hours ago
- US EQUITY OPEN: Indices lower amid higher oil prices and Treasury yields3 hours ago
- Fed Vice Chair of Supervision Bowman does not comment on monetary policy5 hours ago
- US official says US President Trump is prepared to ease sanctions on Iran and release its frozen assets in exchange for progress on the nuclear issue, reports Al Jazeera1 hour ago
- PRIMER - Today’s Fedspeak includes: Bowman, Cook, Barkin6 hours ago
- Three officials tell The Associated Press that mediators were still working with Iran and the United States on a deal to end the fighting and open the Strait of Hormuz, with the indirect talks expected to resume on Monday.5 hours ago
- Iran and Yemen dossiers featured strongly in Saudi-US foreign ministers' meeting, US President Trump will not back down from economic siege on Tehran, wants Hormuz reopened without conditions, reports Al Arabiya1 hour ago
- CNN and Axios also run US offiicial comments (echoing Al Jazeera) that US President Trump is willing to grant Iran sanctions relief and release frozen funds in exchange for real progress on the nuclear issue.1 hour ago
- White House Official confirms US President Trump and Anthropic's Amodei met last night2 hours ago
- Meta (META) CEO Zuckerberg is expected to attent the tech meeting with US President Trump and House Speaker Johnson; Nvidia (NVDA) and OpenAI CEOs have beeen also been invited, reports Semafor2 hours ago
- US President Trump's administration is in favour of an announcement of a early harvest deal with Mexico before the US Midterms, Politico reports; source adds "the stage is set" for a deal3 hours ago
- White House official says US President Trump's 2pm announcement will be on Iowa steel project4 hours ago
- [MARKET UPDATE]: Oil sees downside, with slight Dollar pressure, while Treasuries, stocks, and spot gold see upside amid reports that Trump is ready to ease sanctions on Iran and release its frozen assets in exchange for progress on the nuclear file1 hour ago
- Saudi Arabia started loading oil crude Sunday from the Red Sea port of Yanbu after it completed partial repairs and tests on the East-West pipeline, following drone strikes from Iraq earlier this month, WSJ reports citing sources49 min ago
- Poland issues alert saying Polish aviation has been activated due to Russian air attacks on Ukraine2 hours ago
- Nvidia (NVDA) says Anthropic's reported contracted value tops USD 180bln; commitments rose to USD 279bln from USD 119bln last quarter and commitments primarily related to procurement of memory6 hours ago
- Google (GOOGL) to invest at least USD 15.2bln in Finland over two years, Fox reports; Finland to expand data centers from 50 to 75 facilities6 hours ago
- US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Sep) 9.8 (Prev. 11.6)3 hours ago
- Saudi Aramco is considering discounts on OSPs for crude loaded off Oman via ship-to-ship transfers to offset record freight rates, according to reports4 hours ago
- US fighter jets arrive in Israel, N12 reports; a security source says the incident does not indicate escalation or a different level of alert in relation to Iran41 min ago
The whole workspace, free to try.
Try it free