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Fed's Collins (2028 voter) says she has been expecting to see continued productivity gains; it is not just AI driven; Unemployment remains relatively low

Collins' remarks highlight her expectation of sustained productivity gains as a key factor in managing inflation, suggesting a potentially more constructive outlook on the economy.

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Fed's Collins (2028 voter) says she has been expecting to see continued productivity gains; it is not just AI driven; Unemployment remains relatively low

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  • There has been a long list of recent supply shocks, is very focused on supply side issues.
  • Strong productivity gains should help lessen inflationary pressures. 
Context

This could indicate she leans towards a more hawkish stance in future Fed meetings if these productivity trends continue, possibly influencing market expectations around rate hikes and USD strength. Given her focus on supply-side issues, this could also have implications for inflation dynamics and cross-asset reactions.

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