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Fed's Goolsbee (2027 Voter) says jobs report was a tough miss, via Bloomberg TV; but one report is not a trend

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Speaking on the NFP report on March 6:

  • Jobs report was a tough miss, but one report is not a trend.
  • If you got several months like that, it would be a concern.

Jobs:

  • Reason we are seeing low-hiring, low-firing, is uncertainty.

Inflation:

  • Remains hopeful we will see progress on inflation.
  • Non-tariff inflation has been disturbingly high.
  • Disturbing persistance of services inflation.

Growth:

  • A strong consumer has been driving US growth.

Energy prices:

  • Questions whether inflation rates will be transitory.
  • Oil shock can lead in stagflationary direction; stagflation is a worst-case scenario for central banks.

Policy:

  • Hopeful we can commence rate cuts by end of this year. 
  • Wants to get as much information as possible, especially given recent conflicting data.
  • Everything is on the table at every meeting.
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