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Fed's Paulson (2026 voter) says inflation pressures are weighing on the economy and firms are having a hard time planning for future

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  • Monetary policy is appropriately positioned at mildly restrictive levels.
  • US on track to continue modest growth.
  • Consumers spending, but at a slower pace.
  • Households and firms are cautious about outlook amid uncertainty.
  • Base case is that the job market remains stable.
  • Inflation is too high due to multiple forces.
  • Current stance of policy appropriate.
  • Current Fed policy helping to temper higher inflation.
  • Pace of economic activity not adding materially to inflation pressures.
  • Talking long term inflation expectations, Paulson says they are in a good place.
  • Holding rates steady will give the Fed space to weigh incoming data.
  • 'Healthy' for markets to shift to tighter monpol outlook.
  • Doesn't see structural changes in inflation, instead it's been series of shocks.

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