FOMC STATEMENT: Rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, as expected; voted 8-4 to hold rates (Miran voted for a 25bps rate reduction; Hammack, Kashkari, Logan dissented on easing bias in statement)
The FOMC has decided to keep the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, aligning with market expectations.
JPM's Michele says the Fed is clearly moving towards symmetrical policy; Fed is telling US increasingly concerned about the price level.
SNAP ANALYSIS: FOMC statement leans hawkish
FOMC STATEMENT: Rates unchanged at 3.50-3.75%, as expected; voted 8-4 to hold rates (Miran voted for a 25bps rate reduction; Hammack, Kashkari, Logan dissented on easing bias in statement)
SpaceX says Starlink's Arpu fell 18% to USD 81 to keep falling, The Information
The aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford will depart the Middle East and begin the sail for home in coming days, WaPo reports citing multiple US officials
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RATE DECISION
- Fed holds target range for federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75%
- Eight voted to hold rates unchanged; one (Miran) voted to cut by 25bps; three (Hammack, Kashkari, Logan) voted to hold but opposed inclusion of easing bias in statement
DISSENT DETAILS
- Miran preferred to lower target range by 25bps at this meeting
- Hammack, Kashkari, Logan supported holding rates but did not support inclusion of an easing bias in the statement at this time
FORWARD GUIDANCE
- Fed says in considering extent and timing of additional adjustments, Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks
- Committee would be prepared to adjust stance of monetary policy if risks emerge that could impede attainment of its goals
- Assessments will take into account labour market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments
LABOUR MARKET
- Fed notes job gains have remained low on average; unemployment rate little changed in recent months
- Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment
INFLATION
- Fed says inflation is elevated, in part reflecting recent increase in global energy prices
- Committee strongly committed to returning inflation to 2% objective
BALANCE OF RISKS
- Fed notes Middle East developments are contributing to a high level of uncertainty about the economic outlook
- Committee says it is attentive to risks to both sides of its dual mandate
The 8-4 voting outcome, with dissent from Miran pushing for a cut and others opposing an easing bias, indicates some internal division at the Fed, highlighting a cautious approach amidst elevated inflation and geopolitical uncertainties. This stance suggests a data-dependent path forward, likely keeping the market on edge regarding potential rate adjustments depending on evolving economic conditions.
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