IMF World Economy Outlook: Assuming that the conflict remains limited in duration and scope, global growth is projected to slow to 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027; Downside risks dominate the outlook
Importance
Level 1
Assumptions
- Reference scenario: 2026 global GDP growth 3.1%, oil $82
- Adverse scenario: 2026 global GDP growth 2.5%, oil $100
- Severe scenario: 2026 global GDP growth 2.0%, oil $110
