Intensive international efforts may lead to a ceasefire announcement between Israel and Lebanon tomorrow, via Al Hadath citing sources close to the event

The potential announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon is significant as it may ease regional tensions, positively impacting risk sentiment and stabilizing currencies like the USD. If the ceasefire holds, it could also lead to a downturn in energy prices, particularly oil, given the geopolitical risk premium currently priced in. Watch for market reactions in commodities and broader risk assets following any official confirmation.