Iraq's North Oil Refining Company says the fire at the Salahuddin 2 refinery (140k BPD) did not affect production, via Iraqi News Agency

Fires and security incidents at Iraqi refining and production assets are a recurring headline risk, and the established pattern is that crude only re-rates when the event touches export flows rather than domestic processing. Refining capacity outages move product balances, not crude supply, and Salahuddin's output feeds the domestic market; Iraqi barrels that matter to Brent and WTI benchmarks flow through the southern export terminals and the northern pipeline, which this incident does not involve. The producer's own statement that production was unaffected removes the supply-loss premise, and official denials of this kind in past episodes have typically closed the story unless contradicted by satellite, freight, or loading data. The distinction worth drawing is between refinery incidents, which are product-market stories, and attacks on upstream fields or export infrastructure, which are crude stories; the former have historically faded within the session. Worth noting only as confirmation that the headline tail risk around Iraqi supply remains latent rather than active.