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Israeli Central Bank maintains its Base Rate at 4.00%, as expected

The Israeli Central Bank's decision to maintain the base rate at 4.00% aligns with expectations, suggesting a steady policy stance despite geopolitical tensions.

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  • According to the Research Department forecast, which was formulated under the assumption that Operation Roaring Lion and the fighting in Lebanon will end toward the end of April, GDP is expected to grow by 3.8 percent in 2026 and by 5.5 percent in 2027, compared with 5.2 percent and 4.3 percent, respectively, in the January forecast. The budget deficit is expected to be 5.3 percent of GDP in 2026 and 4.4 percent of GDP in 2027, and the debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to be about 70.5 percent of GDP in 2026 and at the end of 2027.
Context

This decision indicates a measured approach to monetary policy, potentially aimed at supporting growth forecasts while managing inflation. As the economic outlook improves with GDP growth projections raised for 2026 and 2027, the central bank appears focused on stabilizing the economy amidst external uncertainties.

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