[MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses entirely in the red as higher energy prices weigh on broader sentiment
Newsquawk Staff ·
- European bourses (STOXX 600 -2.4%) are entirely trading with decent losses, coming under significant pressure as key oil producers in the Gulf cut their output, which in turn holds back global growth. The FTSE 100 (-1.8%) is performing the best out of a bad bunch, as oil majors (Shell +2.1%, BP +1.2%) limit losses in the index. The SMI (-2.7%) is the laggard, weighed on by losses in Roche (-5.2%) after Genetech's persevERA breast cancer study did not meet the primary objective of a statistically significant improvement in progression-free survival.
- Sectors are completely in the red, with Basic Resources (-4.0%) the worst performer after JPMorgan cut a number of European mining equities, warning that escalation in the Middle East could weigh on metal prices. Technology (-3.1%) and Industrial Goods and Services (-3.3%) also sits near the bottom of the sector pile. Energy (-0.2%), unsurprisingly, sits at the top of the pile as Brent topped out just shy of USD 120/bbl.
- It is hard to find any bright spots in today's market, outside of oil producers. However, Nexi (+3.3%) posts decent gains but this seemingly comes after shares of the Co. plummeted about 20% last week after poor earnings. Italian defence giant Leonardo (1.5%) is also modestly gaining after a Barclays upgrade to overweight from equal weight.
- US equity futures (ES -1.4%, NQ -1.6%, RTY -2.6%) have followed their European counterparts, with the RTY being hit the hardest as higher energy costs and potential Fed hikes affect smaller businesses.
- Volatility in equity markets has surged since the start of the Iran war. FVS-VSTOXX futures are trading at 32, implying a 2% move in Euro Stoxx 50, while the US-based VIX is trading even higher than its European peer, currently at 34. Levels this high haven't been seen since the 'Liberation Day' tariffs at the start of April 2025.
- Al-Mayadeen correspondent in Iran says Iranian officials believe that Trump wants to bring the nuclear issue into the negotiations, which Iran rejects
- Ukrainian President Zelensky says negotiations between Ukraine, Russia and the US could take place as early as November 10th
- US Midterms (6 days out): Florida flips to a Republican early-vote lead and Kansas narrows further; Crystal Ball shifts House and Senate races towards Democrats
- Israeli election results show Netanyahu's bloc with 53 seats, Eisenkot's bloc with 47 and Arab parties with 19, following the counting of all votes excluding double-envelope ballots, i24 reports
- Atomic Energy Organization of Iran Spokesman says protocol for building small reactors with Russia is being finalized
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