[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices declined after Israeli officials confirmed that the attack on Iran's South Pars gas field will likely not be repeated, and Israeli PM Netanyahu said that the war will end sooner than people think

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[MARKET ANALYSIS] DXY regains some composure after retreating yesterday alongside the hawkish G10 central bank theme

[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-notes remain afloat amid declines in oil but with upside capped after the recent central bank deluge and with overnight cash treasuries trade shut

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices declined after Israeli officials confirmed that the attack on Iran's South Pars gas field will likely not be repeated, and Israeli PM Netanyahu said that the war will end sooner than people think

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WTI/Brent: WTI May'26 -2.7% / Brent May'26 -3.3%

  • Continued to pullback from the prior day's initial peak with fluctuation in prices at the whim of supply and geopolitical-related headlines including comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent that the US could do another SPR release to keep prices down and may un-sanction Iranian oil, while the White House will reportedly not implement a crude export ban, and Chevron is restarting jet fuel unit at its 285k bpd El Segundo refinery, five months after a major fire disrupted operations. Furthermore, Israeli officials confirmed that the attack on Iran's South Pars gas field will likely not be repeated, and Israeli PM Netanyahu said that the war will end sooner than people think.

Gold: +0.6%

  • Nurses some losses after its recent slide to briefly test the USD 4,500/oz level, where support held, although the precious metal was still seen on course for its worst weekly loss in six years, with prices not helped by the deluge of central bank updates, which were hawkish-leaning given the inflationary pressures from the war-driven oil surge.

Copper: +1.2%

  • Rebounded from yesterday's intraday dip, but with further upside capped by the lacklustre risk environment.

Context

Oil prices have decreased following Israeli officials' confirmations that a previous attack on Iran's South Pars gas field is unlikely to be repeated, suggesting a potential easing of geopolitical tensions. PM Netanyahu's statement that the conflict may conclude sooner than expected also adds to this sentiment, influencing market perceptions and potentially stabilizing prices in the short term. Overall, these developments could lead to decreased risk premium in oil markets and improve sentiment across energy assets.

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