[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures gained amid lower oil and softer yields, owing to ceasefire hopes

Newsquawk StaffOil newsPublished 25 Mar 2026, 02:59 UTC

Newsquawk headlinesUTC

Every headline is on the live feed 20 minutes before this site.

Go live — 7 days for $29.99

Go live — 7 days for £24.99

Go live — 7 days for €29.99

02:46

Democrat wins Florida state legislature seat in Mar-a-Lago district, according to FT

02:41

China's Vice Premier Ding Xuexian says have seen a series of landmark original innovations in life sciences, material science and space science, adds China's influence in the global pole of innovation has improved substantially

02:39

[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures gained amid lower oil and softer yields, owing to ceasefire hopes

02:14

[MARKET ANALYSIS] Oil prices are pressured and metals gained amid ceasefire hopes

01:42

Iran suspects US President Trump's peace talk push is a trick, while Iranian officials told countries attempting to mediate peace talks that they have been tricked twice by Trump and don't want to be fooled again, according to a source cited by Axios

On the Newsquawk feed at 02:39, 20 minutes before this page.

Use the PlatformFree. No signup, no card.

USTs: +11.5 ticks

Gained as hopes for a ceasefire in the Iran conflict pressured oil prices and dragged yields lower, while there was little reaction to the latest Fed comments from Barr and Goolsbee, pointing to uncertainty and risks from the Middle East war.

Bunds: +39 ticks

Climbed higher amid Iran ceasefire hopes, although stalled just shy of near-term resistance at the 126.00 level, while participants look ahead to German IFO data and Bund issuances.

JGBs: +13 ticks

Tracked the upside in global counterparts, but with gains capped amid a quiet calendar for Japan and with stale minutes from the BoJ's January meeting, which occurred prior to the start of the Iran conflict.

Context

The recent gains in UST and Bund futures signal market optimism driven by ceasefire hopes in the Iran conflict, leading to lower oil prices and yields. This backdrop suggests a search for safety and potential easing of geopolitical risks, which may influence central bank policy expectations going forward.

Newsquawk Daily

Get both market opens in your inbox.

FX · last 90 days

Recent headlines that moved markets

FX/14 Oct · 12:30 UTC

US Core CPI (Sep MM) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.2% (Prev. 0.3%).

- USD/JPY, after we published+0.3%

FX/8 Oct · 08:30 UTC

Fed’s Waller (voter) says more rate hikes are likely needed to tame inflation, but there is flexibility over the pace and hikes do not need to be consecutive.

DXY, after we published+0.1%

FX/5 Oct · 11:16 UTC

Japan's GPIF didn't discuss allocation at its September meeting, Bloomberg reports.

Market, after we published+0.1%

FX/29 Sept · 18:00 UTC

Fed's Williams (voter) says sees no need for urgency after Sept rate hike.

- DXY, after we published−0.2%

FX/29 Sept · 05:32 UTC

[PRESS CONFERENCE] RBA Governor Bullock says inflationary pressures to last longer than expected; inflation is driven by domestic capacity pressures; Board will raise rates again if needed.

AUD/USD, after we published−0.6%

FX/28 Sept · 07:56 UTC

Japanese FX Official Mimura says they are closely watching to see if markets take the clear message they are giving at face value. Not satisfied with or reassured by recent JPY action.

Following the commentary USD/JPY, after we published−0.5%

Newsquawk Daily

Get both market opens in your inbox.

This note and the other one — the EU open and the US open, every business day, written by the desk. No account needed.

Make Newsquawk a preferred source on GoogleSelect this to see Newsquawk more often in Top Stories when you search Google.

Free.

No signup, no card.

Use the Platform

Related headlines

The feed had this first.

Use the Platform