[MARKET ANALYSIS] T-note futures retreat to fresh contract low as oil grinds higher

USTs: -13.5 ticks

• Treasuries were pressured and printed a fresh contract low, with selling exacerbated as prices breached through Wednesday's trough and as oil prices steadily climbed.

Bunds: -39 ticks

• Resumed the prior day's intraday pullback and returned to sub-125.00 territory.

JGBs: ticks

• Followed suit to the downside in global peers, with demand also not helped by firmer-than-expected Japanese PPI data, which showed the fastest pace of increase since late 2022.

The sell-off in U.S. Treasury futures to a new contract low indicates growing bearish sentiment, likely fueled by rising oil prices, which can heighten inflation concerns and impact interest rate expectations. The reaction in European bonds, particularly Bunds and JGBs, further emphasizes a challenging environment for fixed income as inflation data suggests a firmer trajectory in global pricing, potentially signaling a shift in monetary policy outlooks across major economies.