[MARKET UPDATE] Action seen after US CPI has reversed, with XAU above pre-data levels, USD under pressure while fixed income and equity futures have entirely reversed the move and are extending to the upside
Full reversals of the initial CPI move are a familiar pattern and usually trace to the composition of the print: the knee-jerk is driven by the headline rate and algos, while the durable move follows once the core rate, the shelter and services detail, and the diffusion of the components are digested.
Iranian Foreign Minister says the world is increasingly losing confidence in the US financial system, adding that rising debt-financing costs are only the beginning of the problem
Sell Side Core PCE Estimates:
[MARKET UPDATE] Action seen after US CPI has reversed, with XAU above pre-data levels, USD under pressure while fixed income and equity futures have entirely reversed the move and are extending to the upside
Yemen’s armed forces say maritime navigation is safe for all companies except Saudi vessels, which are subject to a blockade, and vow to continue striking Saudi troop buildups and escalating until the aggression and blockade on Yemen end
Russian Trade Balance (Jul) 13.59B (Prev. 12.46B)
Open the platform and use it. The whole workspace is free to try, with no signup and no card. When you want the headlines arriving live instead of on a delay, Newsquawk Pro is £24.99 for 7 days.
When gold settles back above pre-data levels, the dollar stays offered, and the front end and equity futures not only retrace but extend, the read is that the substance of the report is being taken as more benign than the first-pass reaction implied, easing the near-term policy constraint priced into rates. The distinction worth drawing is between a fade (return to pre-data levels, often positioning noise) and an extension through those levels, which more typically signals a genuine repricing of the rate path rather than a washout. Cross-asset alignment here, softer dollar, bid bonds, bid equities, firmer gold, is the classic disinflationary-read configuration, whereas a growth-scare read would usually show equities failing to hold the reversal. Follow-ons are how the move survives the cash open and the close, whether Fed commentary leans into or against the repricing, and the positioning of the next data points on the calendar. As with prior episodes of this kind, second-day price action has tended to be the more reliable signal than the first hour.
Related headlines
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] USD eyes US CPI, whilst EUR digests ECB source reports which suggest the hike debate could be as early as October6 hours ago
- US EQUITY OPEN: US indices reverse initial CPI losses44 min ago
- IEA OMR: 2026 world oil demand to fall by 2.5mln BPD (vs prev. forecast of a 1.6mln BPD fall), citing impasse in US-Iran talks on resolving their conflict.6 hours ago
- Daily US Equity Opening News: ORCL gains on earnings and FY guidance beat; ADBE weighed by slight Q4 revenue miss; SMR downgraded2 hours ago
- The Japanese Trade delegation is reportedly preparing a China visit in September, Kyodo reports6 hours ago
- Newsquawk Weekly Economic Calendar - 13th-18th September 202647 min ago
- Newsquawk Preview: US CPI due Friday 11th September at 13:30BST/08:30EDT2 hours ago
- EU regulators are reportedly set to issue a formal warning over MMG's USD 500mln deal to buy Anglo American's (AAL LN) Brazilian nickel assets, the FT reports4 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Fixed income benchmarks hold steady with markets on high alert for the US CPI print6 hours ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] Crude gives back some of this weeks gains whilst Iran and Paksitan discuss de-escalation on all fronts6 hours ago
- US President Trump reiterates that Iran will never possess a nuclear weapon25 min ago
- [MARKET ANALYSIS] European bourses benefit from cooling energy prices, US equity futures eye CPI data6 hours ago
- Russian Interest Rate Decision 14.00% vs. Exp. 14% (Prev. 14.00%)4 hours ago
- US Core CPI (Aug YY) 2.4% vs. Exp. 2.4% (Prev. 2.5%)2 hours ago
- US Core CPI (Aug MM) 0.3% vs. Exp. 0.2% (Prev. 0.2%)2 hours ago
- US CPI (Aug MM) 0.4% vs. Exp. 0.4% (Prev. 0.1%)2 hours ago
- US CPI (Aug YY) 3.4% vs. Exp. 3.4% (Prev. 3.4%)2 hours ago
- Russian Trade Balance (Jul) 13.59B (Prev. 12.46B)1 hour ago
- Colgate-Palmolive (CL) is exploring the sale of some personal-care brands, and targets about USD 1bln from total sales, sources say42 min ago
- Canadian Trade Minister Leblanc says they remain optimistic that a USMCA renewal will happen53 min ago
The whole workspace, free to try.
Try it free