Morgan Stanley strategist Wilson says the S&P 500 correction is nearing its final stage
Morgan Stanley's strategist suggests that the S&P 500's correction may be nearing its conclusion, with signals indicating this downturn is closer to its end rather than its start.
Honda Motor (7267 JT) reports February vehicle production -5% Y/Y
European Movers: Boohoo (DEBS LN) +8.7%, Rio Tinto (RIO LN) +3.7%, UMG (UMG NA) +3.0%, Nokia (NOKIA FH) +2.5%, Glencore (GLEN LN) +0.5%, Inwit (INW IM) -2.5%
Morgan Stanley strategist Wilson says the S&P 500 correction is nearing its final stage
Two China-linked ships, owned by Cosco Shipping (601919 CN), appear to attempt to cross the Strait of Hormuz
Iranian Parliament's National Security member Borujerdi says the time has come for Iran to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and the permanent monitoring of the Strait of Hormuz, IRNA reports
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- Correction driven by Middle East war-related risk repricing
- Forward P/E has compressed ~17%, in line with past non-recession growth scares
- The market has largely priced in the rise in oil prices
- Breadth is weak: >50% of Russell 3000 constituents down >20%
- Signals suggest the correction is closer to the end than the beginning
- The market is less complacent on growth risks than the investor consensus implies
- Key risk: rising yields — US 10yr nearing ~4.5%, a level that historically pressures equity valuations
The commentary highlights concerns around rising oil prices and soft market breadth but notes that much of the risk is already factored in. Key risk remains the potential impact of rising yields on equity valuations, particularly with the US 10-year approaching critical levels.
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