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PRIMER - Today’s Fedspeak - Williams, Miran

Today's remarks from Fed officials Williams and Miran suggest a mix of optimism and caution regarding the economic outlook.

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Lebanese President Aoun told US Secretary of State Rubio that he would not agree to talk to Netanyahu, Lebanese channel LBCI reports.

Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q1 2026 (USD): EPS 1.37 (exp. 1.35), Revenue 6.48bln (exp. 6.5bln)

PRIMER - Today’s Fedspeak - Williams, Miran

US Secretary of State Rubio is expected to call Lebanese President Aoun and try to convince him to include Israel PM Netanyahu in the conversation,, via Al Araby

Riksbank Deputy Governor Jansson says uncertainty is high due to Middle East conflict

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  • 13:35BST/08:35EDT: Fed’s Williams (voter) will speak at a Federal Home Loan Bank of New York event. Speaking at the end of March, Williams said policy is well positioned to handle current uncertainties. Williams warned the conflict could result in a large supply shock simultaneously boosting inflation and dampening economic activity, adding that disruptions in energy and related goods have already begun to play out. He expects 2026 growth of around 2.5% (vs Fed median of 2.4%) and inflation of 2.75% (vs Fed median of 2.7%) before retreating to 2% next year, a slightly more optimistic outlook than some of his FOMC colleagues, who see inflation above target until 2028.
  • 15:35BST/10:35EDT: Fed’s Miran (voter, dovish dissenter) will speak on the global outlook. Speaking this week, Miran said the Iran war energy shock has yet to lift longer-run inflation expectations, and he expects inflation to return to target within a year. Miran said a wage-price spiral is unlikely given the labour market’s gradual cooling trajectory, and that not responding to the supply shock remains reasonable central bank practice.
Context

Williams appears slightly more hawkish than his peers, projecting modest growth and manageable inflation, while Miran maintains a dovish stance, viewing current inflation expectations as contained despite the energy shock. Together, their comments highlight a nuanced approach to potential supply issues and inflation in the Fed's ongoing policy considerations.

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