RBA Deputy Governor Hauser says Australia's economy is overall in good shape and there will be a very genuine policy debate at the board meeting, with arguments on both sides
Importance
Level 1
Says:
- A 5% peak for inflation probably looks a little on the pessimistic side; our response depends on size and persistence of the price shock, which is very uncertain.
- Inflation is too high.
- Oil price rise clearly an upside risk to the inflation projection but still in flux.
- Recent data seem to confirm even more decisively that the economy has limited spare capacity.
- Not all domestic data came in as strongly as expected, including consumption.
- Uncertainty over developments in Iran is extremely high.
- Data seems to confirm the economy has limited spare capacity.
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