RBI keeps Repurchase Rate unchanged at 5.25%, as expected, with the decision unanimous and it maintains a neutral stance
The RBI's decision to keep the repurchase rate unchanged at 5.25% was expected and reflects a unanimous stance, indicating stability in its monetary policy amidst global uncertainties.
Japanese Eco Watchers Survey Outlook (Mar) 38.7 (Prev. 50.0)
Iran's Supreme Leader instructed negotiators to seek a truce, according to Axios
RBI keeps Repurchase Rate unchanged at 5.25%, as expected, with the decision unanimous and it maintains a neutral stance
Bahrain sounds missile alert hours after the US and Iran ceasefire agreement, according to AP
US carmakers accuse EU of blocking supersized pick-up trucks from roads, according to FT
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Says:
- Standing Deposit Facility rate remains unchanged at 5%, whilst the Marginal Standing Facility rate and the Bank Rate are also retained at 5.5%.
- Safe-haven flows have exerted depreciation pressures on currencies of major economies.
- Global growth faces downside risk.
- India’s economy is on a stronger footing at the current juncture.
- The global economy is facing unprecedented challenges, and before the outbreak of the West Asia conflict, India’s macro fundamentals exuded confidence.
- Upside risk to inflation outlook has risen.
- High-frequency indicators up to February suggest a continuation of strong momentum in economic activity.
- West Asia conflict likely to impede growth.
- Momentum in services sector is to support economic activity and business expectations remain optimistic.
- Raises FY25/26 GDP growth forecasts to 7.6% from 7.4%, while it sees FY26/27 growth at 6.9%.
- Sees FY26/27 CPI at 4.6%.
While there are rising inflation risks and downside threats to global growth, the RBI remains optimistic about India's economic momentum, upgrading GDP growth forecasts for FY25/26. This suggests mixed implications for rates and economic sentiment, aligning with a neutral outlook while acknowledging upward pressures on inflation.
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