RBI keeps Repurchase Rate unchanged at 5.25%, as expected, with the decision unanimous and it maintains a neutral stance

The RBI's decision to keep the repurchase rate unchanged at 5.25% was expected and reflects a unanimous stance, indicating stability in its monetary policy amidst global uncertainties.

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RBI keeps Repurchase Rate unchanged at 5.25%, as expected, with the decision unanimous and it maintains a neutral stance

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Says:

  • Standing Deposit Facility rate remains unchanged at 5%, whilst the Marginal Standing Facility rate and the Bank Rate are also retained at 5.5%.
  • Safe-haven flows have exerted depreciation pressures on currencies of major economies.
  • Global growth faces downside risk.
  • India’s economy is on a stronger footing at the current juncture.
  • The global economy is facing unprecedented challenges, and before the outbreak of the West Asia conflict, India’s macro fundamentals exuded confidence.
  • Upside risk to inflation outlook has risen.
  • High-frequency indicators up to February suggest a continuation of strong momentum in economic activity.
  • West Asia conflict likely to impede growth.
  • Momentum in services sector is to support economic activity and business expectations remain optimistic.
  • Raises FY25/26 GDP growth forecasts to 7.6% from 7.4%, while it sees FY26/27 growth at 6.9%.
  • Sees FY26/27 CPI at 4.6%.
Context

While there are rising inflation risks and downside threats to global growth, the RBI remains optimistic about India's economic momentum, upgrading GDP growth forecasts for FY25/26. This suggests mixed implications for rates and economic sentiment, aligning with a neutral outlook while acknowledging upward pressures on inflation.

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