TSMC (TSM/2330 TT) Q3 guidance (USD): revenue at 44.6-45.8bln (exp. 42.6bln); gross margin 66-67% (exp. 65.9%), 2026 capex 60-64bln (prev. saw 52-56bln)

  • Notes "very" strong demand for leading-edge technologies
  • Do not foresee a bottleneck for the capacity expansion plan.
  • Expect continued strong demand in Q3.
  • Challenge due to rising component prices.
  • AI related demand is extremely robust.
  • Customers and their customers provide us with very strong signals and outlook.
  • Expect FY26 revenue to be slightly above 40% in USD terms (prev. fcst above 30%)
  • AI is driving CPU demand in data centres.
  • To invest another USD 100bln into Arizona, USA; will be for N2 and below tech and packaging; will continue to invest in Taiwan;  building 13 leading-edge packaging fabs in Taiwan in the next few years; increasing mature node capacity in Japan; will be "many" fabs in Arizona, "maybe" an additional four more to be built.
  • A14 development is on track; production from 2028; A12, 13 volume production from 2029.
  • Strong conviction in AI megatrend.
  • Capex in the next three years will be "significantly" higher than the past three years. 
  • Packaging capacity is tight; working hard to shorten gap between demand and capacity for advanced packaging.
  • Up to 2030, demand will be very strong. 
  • Not concerned about customer concentration.
  • Will not abruptly raise prices.
  • New few years will be vrey good business.
#UNITED STATES#USD#EUR#JAPAN#JPY#UNITED KINGDOM#GBP#EUROPE#TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR MANUFACTURING COMPANY#TSM.US#TSMC#IMPORTANT#FOREX#METALS#EU SESSION#METALS & MINING#DXY#ASIAN EQUITIES
Published: Updated: