Xiaomi (1810 HK) says that memory chip price surges will moderate in H2
Statements from large memory buyers about the pricing cycle have historically served as useful cross-checks on sell-side supply models, since handset makers sit on the demand side of the DRAM and NAND market and see contract pricing before it shows up in the memory makers' reported figures. The read here splits two ways: for Xiaomi itself, moderating memory costs ease the bill-of-materials pressure that has historically squeezed smartphone gross margins during upcycles; for the memory complex tagged on the wire, an H2 moderation signal from a major customer cuts against the tightness narrative that has underpinned the stocks, and past episodes of this kind have tended to hit the peer set as a group rather than in isolation. The credibility question is whether the comment reflects actual contract negotiations or forward expectation, and whether it is demand softening or supply additions doing the work, since those two cases have different implications for how long pricing pressure persists. Follow-ons worth noting are memory makers' own commentary on contract pricing and capex, and any corroboration or pushback from other handset and server buyers. As corporate commentary rather than a data point, the signal is directional and second-hand.